Vakkotaur (vakkotaur) wrote,
Vakkotaur
vakkotaur

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Poll: Going nuclear


The morning of July 16, 1945 saw the world's first nuclear test shot. Less than a month later the only two nuclear weapons used in warfare were detonated - or initiated if you prefer.[1] Since then there have been many nuclear detonations and many wars, but they have been isolated from each other. Once again I have a poll about what might happen with a third nuclear weapon used in outright warfare...

Poll #1762173 Calling Dr. Merkwürdigliebe...

Who will break the nuclear peace, such as it is? That is, who will fire the *first* nuclear shot?

United States
1(6.2%)
Russia
0(0.0%)
United Kingdom
0(0.0%)
France
0(0.0%)
China
1(6.2%)
India
1(6.2%)
Pakistan
3(18.8%)
North Korea
3(18.8%)
Israel
1(6.2%)
Iran
3(18.8%)
Saudi Arabia
0(0.0%)
Another country
1(6.2%)
A terrorist organization
2(12.5%)
Nobody
0(0.0%)

The delivery system will be

a ballistic missile.
5(35.7%)
a cruise missile.
1(7.1%)
a manned aircraft.
0(0.0%)
a drone aircraft.
1(7.1%)
a ship or submarine leaving a bomb in or near a port.
1(7.1%)
a truck parked and left.
0(0.0%)
a suicide bomber.
3(21.4%)
something else.
2(14.3%)
non-existent.
1(7.1%)

The result will be:

A rapid nuclear escalation to the end of the world.
0(0.0%)
A rather large, but still limited, nuclear exchange.
3(20.0%)
A dozen or so nukes will be popped.
3(20.0%)
A nuke for a nuke, and it will end with 2 or maybe 4.
7(46.7%)
Just one nuke will be popped.
1(6.7%)
Just one nuke, and it will be a fizzle (still several tons yeild).
1(6.7%)
Just one nuke, but it will be a very embarrassing complete dud.
0(0.0%)
Nothing, as nobody will start popping nukes.
0(0.0%)

Continent on which the first big mushroom will grow:

Africa
1(6.7%)
Antarctica
0(0.0%)
Asia
9(60.0%)
Australia
0(0.0%)
Europe
1(6.7%)
North America
3(20.0%)
South America
0(0.0%)
Ocean burst - above, on, or in
1(6.7%)
Not gonna happen.
0(0.0%)



[1] To join the atom bomb club, you must have a nuclear initiation...

Tags: nuclear war, poll
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