The morning of July 16, 1945 saw the world's first nuclear test shot. Less than a month later the only two nuclear weapons used in warfare were detonated - or initiated if you prefer. Since then there have been many nuclear detonations and many wars, but they have been isolated from each other. Once again I have a poll about what might happen with a third nuclear weapon used in outright warfare...
Who will break the nuclear peace, such as it is? That is, who will fire the *first* nuclear shot?
A terrorist organization
The delivery system will be
a ballistic missile.
a cruise missile.
a manned aircraft.
a drone aircraft.
a ship or submarine leaving a bomb in or near a port.
a truck parked and left.
a suicide bomber.
The result will be:
A rapid nuclear escalation to the end of the world.
A rather large, but still limited, nuclear exchange.
A dozen or so nukes will be popped.
A nuke for a nuke, and it will end with 2 or maybe 4.
Just one nuke will be popped.
Just one nuke, and it will be a fizzle (still several tons yeild).
Just one nuke, but it will be a very embarrassing complete dud.
Nothing, as nobody will start popping nukes.
Continent on which the first big mushroom will grow:
Ocean burst - above, on, or in
Not gonna happen.
 To join the atom bomb club, you must have a nuclear initiation...